Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 2.047765 2.341957 2.654297 3.009621 3.401637 3.819923 4.298972
2025-01-26 1.543930 1.958499 2.434014 3.015071 3.700983 4.479886 5.425987
2025-02-02 1.214806 1.693982 2.282938 3.048411 4.004450 5.146161 6.598592
2025-02-09 0.962387 1.466666 2.127167 3.034138 4.223568 5.705603 7.664240
2025-02-16 0.763079 1.266783 1.967371 2.979147 4.365205 6.157529 8.604943
2025-02-23 0.636593 1.142789 1.885852 3.007347 4.602081 6.729388 9.713565
2025-03-02 0.520366 1.011058 1.771011 2.968099 4.731682 7.153511 10.636137
2025-03-09 0.444522 0.928687 1.715632 3.002806 4.958033 7.710171 11.751098
2025-03-16 0.373248 0.840122 1.636896 2.989573 5.106294 8.157064 12.725719
2025-03-23 0.337788 0.809172 1.646578 3.111578 5.458832 8.905226 14.146052
2025-03-30 0.302938 0.772696 1.641136 3.205618 5.769895 9.602081 15.514553
2025-04-06 0.254428 0.699153 1.560483 3.165191 5.863852 9.977356 16.426513
2025-04-13 0.223310 0.657805 1.536017 3.222425 6.123869 10.623824 17.778044
2025-04-20 0.194023 0.614653 1.503014 3.261868 6.357513 11.241519 19.113190
2025-04-27 0.169748 0.577929 1.477666 3.311902 6.610221 11.897878 20.528876
2025-05-04 0.143795 0.530502 1.423737 3.302847 6.759590 12.395056 21.716150
2025-05-11 0.118357 0.477257 1.349436 3.246623 6.820892 12.750437 22.692399
2025-05-18 0.102690 0.447326 1.321819 3.277925 7.036412 13.360980 24.083011
2025-05-25 0.085070 0.405828 1.261305 3.236370 7.115681 13.747357 25.127494
2025-06-01 0.074208 0.382702 1.240629 3.273739 7.339322 14.378616 26.576728
2025-06-08 0.062501 0.352491 1.197795 3.259655 7.464331 14.845787 27.772089
2025-06-15 0.058186 0.348458 1.221217 3.390316 7.869772 15.803323 29.789613
2025-06-22 0.053091 0.339703 1.230945 3.490968 8.221201 16.677522 31.690824